International Relations

U.S. & Ukraine Near Peace Deal, But Russia Likely to Reject Changes

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U.S. & Ukraine Near Peace Deal,  But Russia Likely to Reject Changes

Let’s break it down 👇

Read this especially if you’re following U.S.–Russia diplomacy, Ukraine negotiations, or how peace frameworks get shaped behind the scenes.

📍 What Just Happened

U.S. and Ukrainian negotiators made progress on adjusting the American-led 28-point peace plan to better align with Kyiv’s needs.

U.S. Army Secretary Daniel Driscoll met with Russian officials in Abu Dhabi, with Ukrainian delegates also in attendance.

Zelensky is expected to travel to the United States to finalize the terms directly with Trump.

🔍 Key Details

The revised proposal removes or delays several Russia-friendly elements from the original plan.

Ukraine will negotiate territorial questions,  including Donbas,  directly at a Trump–Zelensky meeting.

Russia says it is waiting for the updated draft before giving a formal response.

Moscow has already signaled resistance to any changes that diverge from the earlier Alaska/Anchorage understanding.

Analysts expect Russia to push back hard on revisions seen as weakening the concessions it previously anticipated.

🧠 Why It Matters

If the U.S. cuts military aid, Ukraine could be pushed into accepting concessions it once rejected.

Russia, having already seen the original draft, is unlikely to accept any terms less favorable than before.

Both sides are now under pressure not to be seen as the “obstacle to peace” in Trump’s eyes.

🧭 The Backdrop

Russia launched massive missile/drone strikes on Kyiv as negotiations proceeded.

Putin insists Russia is “happy” to continue fighting unless a deal meets Moscow’s interests.

Analysts note Russia may accept freezes in Zaporizhzhia/Kherson, but Donetsk remains the sticking point.

🧾 The Bottom Line

The U.S. and Ukraine may ultimately finalize an internal agreement, but unless the concessions they craft closely match what Russia has publicly stated it expects, Moscow is likely to reject the revised peace plan outright. Any deviation from those anticipated terms could be viewed by the Kremlin as politically or strategically unacceptable.