Senator Elizabeth Warren is demanding answers after a wave of eerily accurate bets appeared on prediction markets just before U.S. military action involving Iran.
In a sharp public statement, Warren warned that these “well-timed” trades may not be luck at all. Instead, she raised the possibility of insider trading tied to sensitive government information, calling for a formal investigation into who knew what and when.
The concern centers around platforms like Polymarket, where users reportedly placed large bets tied to geopolitical outcomes. These included predictions on military escalation, oil price swings, and potential ceasefires, many of which turned out to be highly profitable.
According to reports, some of these trades were placed just hours before major developments, triggering alarms both on Capitol Hill and inside the White House. Officials have since acknowledged growing concerns that market activity could be signaling leaks or misuse of classified information.
Warren’s call comes alongside a viral post from @remarks, which amplified the controversy using imagery of massive stacks of cash next to her photo. The message was clear: if these bets were informed by insider knowledge, someone may have cashed in on global conflict.
The timing is especially sensitive given rising tensions between the United States and Iran, where even minor developments can move billions in global markets. That makes prediction platforms a potential goldmine, or a potential liability.
So far, no official findings have confirmed wrongdoing. But the pattern of profitable, perfectly timed bets has raised serious questions about market transparency, national security, and ethical boundaries in the age of decentralized finance.
If proven true, the implications would go far beyond gambling. It could mean that confidential government actions are being quietly monetized in real time.